还剩下9天。减半前会不会又出现一次大崩盘？

大盘重回7万关口。我想很多卖空者都对这种逆转感到困惑。根据上次的经验，这次价格从72900跌下来，还要回到68000左右，波动一两周。

然而，市场趋势不会简单地重演。从大盘重返7万点可以看出，市场抄底情绪不绝于耳。毕竟，在确定了牛市的方向之后，谁都不想错过上船的机会。

昨天，ETF数据再次出现正流入，净流入1786个币，总计1.24亿枚。贝莱德持有量达到264,233枚代币。过去一周ETF资金流入近10亿美元。 Fidelity和Bitwise开始发力，为整个市场币价提供良好的支撑。

灰度仅剩约 300,000 GBTC。目前GBTC应该已经达到平衡，净流出可能结束。唐仁认为，一旦流出结束，真正的净流入就会开始。

随着减半的开始，随着高层调整的结构越来越大，比特币的供应量将越来越小，未来市场币价上涨的难度将进一步降低。没有人能够想象真正的牛市开始时价格会涨到多高。

至于减半前行情是否会出现大跌，唐人仍然认为概率较小。毕竟，需要做的调整已经基本完成了。

然而，价格会下降吗？答案是肯定的。市场不会一直朝一个方向发展。上次牛市经历了七八次回调，而我们现在只经历了两次回调。现在还早，回调期间还有机会上船。

昨天，全球关注的3月未经调整CPI年率，高于预期水平3.4%，达到3.5%，为2023年9月以来最高水平，美联储6月降息预期基本可以排除，专家再次将降息时间从9月推迟至11月。

受此消息影响，美元短时间内大幅上涨，黄金和比特币均出现瞬间下跌。如果不出意外的话，下跌趋势将会持续下去。毕竟负面消息对市场还是有一定影响的。

前两篇文章中提到的RGB++协议（铭文）的市场热度再次飙升。 RGB++的出现导致了铭文活动的死灰复燃。

With its technological advantages, CKB is expected to become an important part of the Bitcoin ecosystem. Perhaps the inscriptions will no longer be as popular as they were at the end of last year, but it is still very tempting to make some money in the short term.

Another piece of news worth noting is that the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission has finally taken a more substantial step in the field of digital currency. In the early morning of April 10, the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission updated the list of fund companies that manage virtual assets on its official website, adding Harvest Global Asset Management Co., Ltd. (abbreviated as Harvest Global) and China Asset Management (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. (abbreviated as China Asset Management), that is, adding virtual asset management business to the original traditional asset management business of these public funds.

The Hong Kong spot Bitcoin ETF will be listed as early as the end of April, which means that the leading public fund companies in the mainland have finally entered the virtual asset industry in Hong Kong and have the qualifications to issue cryptocurrency-related fund products.

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