比特币暴跌，坚守哪里不破位？

️认知社会评论

比特币回到51200，并在2月16日冲刺至52600，超强盘整。

比特币四小时顶背离从未反馈到日线上。比特币已回落至51200。50,000是关键支撑位。如果守住51200，就不会突破该水平。山寨应该补涨。如果比特币跌破5万行情就会放量暴跌。

这个时候没有必要做空，做多也没有多大意义。更有意义的是，根据比特币的支持水平，押注一些弥补涨幅的币种。

最重要的是不要追高。在这个位置上，做空二级头寸比参与全仓更好。

交易市场是为了活得更长久，而不是为了短期利润。

今天这篇文章具体讲解了认知学会文章每日总结：

比特币16000附近将是2024年牛市极其重要的底部区域。长期K线研究重点关注以太子UNI和链接饼；

由于认知协会的文章最近才在币安上发表，很多新人认为这是比特币达到16000的机会吗？

第一：这句话是认知社在2023年大熊市期间的判断，当时比特币长期在2万以下。这不仅仅是因为今天的上涨。当时市场分析师认为比特币历史最低点在10000美元，认知协会独家认为比特币历史最低点在16000美元左右

第二：排除比特币被攻击等灾难性负面影响，比特币即使达到312也不太可能跌至16000左右；

第三：为了避免新人误解，认知学会将修改结案陈词。

每日币讯解读

彭博社：MicroStrategy 目前持有 100 亿美元的比特币

据彭博社报道，MicroStrategy 持有的比特币目前价值 100 亿美元。

截至 2024 年 2 月 5 日，MicroStrategy 持有 190,000 个比特币，总成本为 59.3 亿美元，即每个比特币 31,224 美元。

认知学会解读：微观策略牛市不卖一些也不是好事。以后体积太大的话，就会受到攻击。一旦破产，后果将十分严重。

以太坊Dencun升级主网激活日期初步预计为3月13日。

2 月 16 日，Galaxy 研究副总裁 Christine Kim 对第 181 届以太坊核心开发者执行（ACDE）电话会议进行了总结。开发者们分享了Dencun升级主网激活准备工作的最新进展，并讨论了各种以太坊改进提案（EIP）。

Most of these are proposed to be included in the Pectra upgrade, while others are proposed as "retroactive" EIPs, meaning changes to the protocol rules will be retroactively applied to all Ethereum transactions since creation.

Ethereum Foundation DevOps Engineer Barnabas Busa said his team is syncing nodes to the Ethereum mainnet in preparation for the shadow fork. The developers plan to perform a shadow fork of the Ethereum mainnet for the Dencun upgrade after all final client versions of Dencun are released. The client team plans to release the final version of Dencun late next week.

Busa said his team will upgrade their nodes to these versions shortly thereafter and plans to complete the mainnet shadow fork by Friday, February 23. Once the results of the shadow fork are out and the results are positive, he will go ahead and publish an official EF blog post announcing the mainnet activation date for the Dencun upgrade as March 13th.

Cognitive Society Interpretation: The key is whether Cancun’s upgraded second floor can produce phenomenal products.

Uniswap v4 is tentatively scheduled to be released on the Ethereum mainnet in Q3 2024

The Uniswap Foundation announced in a document that with the release plan of Dencun mainnet set for March 2024, the Uniswap v4 version is expected to be launched in the third quarter of 2024. The development of the v4 version has made progress, including community-building Hooks, events, and Twitter Spaces, demonstrating the strong momentum for the v4 version. The Uniswap Foundation emphasized that v4 will be the most rigorously audited code on Ethereum, and its release roadmap includes code freezing, auditing and testnet phases, and will eventually be pushed to the mainnet ETH in the third quarter.

Cognitive Society Interpretation: The value of UNI in the currency circle has reached the level of Bitcoin Ether, but it is too weak to empower the token.

48.66 million BLUR were unlocked from the locked contract and transferred to Coinbase for distribution

According to Spot On Chain monitoring, 48.66 million BLUR ($35.56 million) were unlocked from the locked contract 4 hours ago and transferred to Coinbase for distribution.

A total of 583.4 million BLUR (now worth $437.6 million) has been unlocked in 9 monthly issuances since June 2023

Cognitive Society: BLUR0.77 is a strong pressure level

Summary: Bitcoin 51200 50,000 is an important support level, and the plunge is an opportunity; 24 years is the initial stage of the bull market for Bitcoin and Ether, and every plunge is an opportunity. Long-term K-line research focuses on Ether times UNI OP NEAR BLUR and link big cake;

Short-term data on February 17

Bitcoin

Support level: 51200 50000

Pressure level: 52500 53500

Ethereum

The strong pressure level of 2900 is not a price issue, it is psychological suppression.

Pressure level: 2840 2900

Support level: 2750 2700

him

Stuck on 7.7

Support level: 7.25 7.1

Pressure level: 7.6 7.8

链接

陷于21、18是重要支撑位，持有反弹希望。

压力等级：20 20.6

支持级别：19 18.4

1000SATS

最高水平0.00055与认知协会昨天提到的1000SATS 0.00056一致，为强压力位。可以留意突然下降的情况。

0.00046是一个重要的支撑位

1000只老鼠

0.3后紧急插针扎入

认知社认为短期1000rats0.247 042可少量分配

人工智能

1.5反弹到1.72又被操了

1.3附近可以反弹

短期支撑位：1.4 1.36

对于AI板块，可以长期关注0.3到1.1，不要追高。

BNB

350或340左右可以反弹

地球认知协会独家提醒BNB投资210-180

币安只要不下雷雨，BNB 210就可以投资到180BNB

支持度：350345

压力等级：364370

24是主卡，能不能抗20.3是关键

CRV

0.55是重要支撑

压力等级：0.55-0.58

支撑位：0.51 0.49

OP

3.5 3.3是重要支撑位

认知社独家提醒OP底部接近1.3时坎昆升级的布局。

压力等级：3.8-3.95

支撑位：3.55 3.35

ARB

1.91是重要支撑位。如果不破的话，还有反弹的希望。如果破裂，就会触底。

认知社地球独家提醒“ARB”下注低于0.9，如0.88 0.85 0.82 0.79 0.76 0.73。实际最低为0.74

附近

这波浪潮还没有跟上。 3是一个重要的支撑位。

认知社是唯一一个提醒你投资近1.3比1的

在1.3到1附近配置一些长线

压力等级：3.3 3.4

支持级别：3.1 3

模糊

波动巨大，日线存在顶部风险。 0.66和0.63是短期支撑位。

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