时间：2024-01-25|浏览：266
比特币 (BTC) 正在见证多头和空头在 40,000 美元水平附近的一场艰苦战斗。 买家似乎对新推出的比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的长期前景持乐观态度，但卖家则关注灰度比特币信托基金 (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust) 的 34 亿美元资金流出。
除了加密货币相关的问题外，一些分析师还担心宏观经济形势的恶化。 BitMEX 前首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 在其最新博客文章中警告投资者，比特币有可能跌至 35,000 美元至 30,000 美元之间。 海耶斯表示，美联储可能会发现在不久的将来很难降息，因为红海胡塞武装袭击船只导致的运输成本上升可能会推高通胀。
每日加密货币市场表现。 来源： Coin360
一些分析师在短期内转为看跌，但新推出的比特币 ETF 的强劲需求可能会限制下行空间。 在推出后的 7 天内，9 个现货比特币 ETF 已积累了超过 100,000 个比特币。
可能吸引比特币和山寨币购买的关键水平是什么？ 让我们分析一下前 10 名加密货币的图表来找出答案。
比特币价格分析
1 月 22 日，比特币跌破 40,000 美元支撑位，表明多头正在急于退出。 价格下滑至 37,980 美元的强劲支撑位附近，该支撑位短期内可能会保持不变。
BTC/USDT 日线图。 来源： TradingView
价格正试图从 37,980 美元反弹，但多头可能会在 20 天指数移动平均线（42,116 美元）处面临强劲阻力。 如果价格从 20 日均线下跌，BTC/USDT 货币对将面临跌破 37,980 美元的风险。 在这种情况下，该货币对可能会跌至下一个强劲支撑位 34,000 美元。
预计买家将积极捍卫 34,000 美元至 37,980 美元之间的区域。 他们必须将价格推至 20 日均线上方才能发出回归信号。 在该货币对突破 44,700 美元后，看涨势头可能会增强。
以太币价格分析
1 月 19 日，以太坊 (ETH) 从 20 日均线（2,395 美元）弱势反弹，吸引了空头的进一步抛售，1 月 22 日，空头将价格拉低至 2,400 美元的突破水平。
ETH/USDT 日线图。 来源： TradingView
20日均线已开始转向下行，RSI接近40，表明空头略有优势。 卖家将尝试将价格压低至 2,100 美元的强劲支撑位。 预计多头将竭尽全力保护该水平，因为跌破该水平可能会开启新的跌向 1,900 美元的下跌趋势。
如果多头将 ETH/USDT 货币对维持在下降趋势线上方，这种负面观点将在短期内失效。 随后该货币对将尝试反弹至 2,614 美元，随后升至 2,717 美元。
BNB价格分析
BNB’s (BNB) reversed direction from the downtrend line on Jan. 22 and closed below the 20-day EMA ($305), indicating aggressive selling on rallies.
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The price action of the past few days has formed a descending triangle pattern, which will complete on a break and close below $288. If that happens, the bears will try to drag the price to the neckline and then to $232.
Contrarily, if the price bounces off $288 with strength, it will suggest that the bulls are fiercely protecting the level. The BNB/USDT pair may then rise to the 20-day EMA. A break above this level will pave the way for a possible rally to the downtrend line.
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) has been in a pullback for the past many days. The bears strengthened their hold further by pulling the price below the 50-day SMA ($91) on Jan. 22,
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The moving averages are on the verge of a bearish crossover and the RSI is in the negative zone, indicating that the path of least resistance is to the downside. There is a minor support at $77, but if this level gives way, the SOL/USDT pair could complete a 100% retracement and fall to $64.
The downtrend line is the major barrier to watch out for on the upside. If buyers drive the price above the downtrend line, it will suggest that the corrective phase may be over. The pair may then jump to $107.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) turned down from the 20-day EMA ($0.56) on Jan. 15 and slipped below the immediate support of $0.54 on Jan. 19.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The 20-day EMA is sloping down and the RSI is near the oversold territory, indicating that bears are in the driver’s seat. Sellers will try to tug the price to $0.46 where the buyers are likely to step in. However, any bounce is expected to face selling at the 20-day EMA. If the price turns down and breaks below $0.46, a retest of $0.41 may be on the cards.
If bulls want to prevent the downside, they will have to propel and maintain the price above the downtrend line. The pair may then rise to $0.67.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) has been falling inside a descending channel pattern for the past few days, indicating that higher levels are being sold into.
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.52) and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that the bears are in control. Sellers will try to strengthen their position further by yanking the price below the channel. If they do that, the selling could accelerate and the ADA/USDT pair may dive to $0.35.
Instead, if the price bounces off the support line of the channel, the bulls will attempt to overcome the barrier at the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the pair may ascend to the downtrend line of the channel.
Avalanche price analysis
Avalanche (AVAX) attempted a relief rally off the $31 support on Jan. 19, but the weak bounce shows that bears continue to pound on every minor rise.
AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
Intense selling pressure pulled the price below the $31 support on Jan. 22. The bulls are trying to push the price back above the breakdown level of $31, but the recovery is likely to hit a wall at the 20-day EMA ($34.32). If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the AVAX/USDT pair may fall to $24.
On the contrary, if bulls push the price above the 20-day EMA, it will signal that the selling pressure could be reducing. The price may then climb to the 50-day SMA ($37.63).
Related: Here’s what happened in crypto today
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) started a recovery on Jan. 20, but the bulls could not clear the overhead hurdle at the 50-day SMA ($0.09). This shows that bears remain active at higher levels.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The price has reached the strong support near $0.07, which has held on three previous occasions. If the price rebounds off this level with force, it will suggest that the DOGE/USDT pair may oscillate between $0.07 and $0.09 for a few days.
Instead, if the price continues lower and breaks below $0.07, it will open the doors for a possible fall to $0.06.
The first sign of strength will be a rise above the 50-day SMA. The pair may then climb to the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone.
Polkadot price analysis
Polkadot (DOT) plunged below the neckline of the head-and-shoulders pattern on Jan. 22, indicating that the bears are in command.
DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls will try to push the price back above the neckline but are likely to face stiff resistance from the bears. If the price turns down from the neckline, it will signal that the bears have flipped the level into resistance. That will increase the likelihood of a further downside to $4.80.
On the contrary, if bulls push the price back above the neckline, it will indicate strong buying at lower levels. The downside risk will reduce after the DOT/USDT pair sustains above the moving averages.
Chainlink price analysis
Chainlink (LINK) has been trading inside a large range between $12.85 and $17.32 for several days, indicating buying at lower levels and selling on rallies.
LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
Both moving averages are flattish, and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a slight advantage to the bears. The LINK/USDT pair could drop to the support of the range at $12.85, where buying is likely to emerge. If the price rebounds off this level with strength, it will suggest that the range-bound action may continue for some more time.
The bears will gain the upper hand if they sink and sustain the price below $12.85. That could start a fall to $12 and thereafter to $10.50.
本文不包含投资建议或建议。 每一项投资和交易行为都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应自行研究。
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