时间：2024-03-16|浏览：227
比特币 (BTC) 的大幅上涨正显示出短期回调的迹象，这可能是 3 月 14 日仅有 1.32 亿美元流入现货比特币交易所交易基金的原因之一。比特币最近的上涨很大程度上是由比特币 ETF 的大量资金流入推动的。
如果比特币开始调整，调整的深度会有多深？ 根据化名为 Bags 的 X（前 Twitter）帖子，在之前的减半周期中，比特币下跌了近 40%。 如果历史重演，那么比特币可能会暴跌至 45,500 美元左右。
加密货币市场数据每日查看。 来源： Coin360
调整是每个牛市的一部分。 受欢迎的交易商 Skew 表示，当前回调期间的一个积极迹象是，这主要是由于对冲获利预订，并且尚未导致“恐慌性做空”。
比特币和山寨币的调整是否会加深，或者价格会从当前水平反弹？ 让我们分析一下前 10 名加密货币的图表来找出答案。
比特币价格分析
3 月 14 日，比特币利润录得 73,777 美元，但多头逢低买入，从烛台上的长尾可以看出。
BTC/USDT 日线图。 来源： TradingView
然而，3 月 15 日的势头未能延续，吸引了短期交易者的大力抛售。 价格已达到上升通道形态的支撑线，这是一个值得关注的重要水平。
如果价格跌破通道和 20 天指数移动平均线（65,195 美元），则表明修正阶段的开始。 BTC/USDT 货币对可能会下滑至 59,000 美元，然后跌至 50 天简单移动平均线（54,291 美元）。
相反，如果价格从支撑线反弹，则表明该货币对可能会在通道内停留一段时间。 多头将再次尝试将价格推高至上方阻力位 73,777 美元。
以太币价格分析
以太坊 (ETH) 的涨势在 4,000 美元附近停滞，吸引短期交易者获利了结。 3 月 14 日烛台上的长尾显示多头试图将 3,600 美元的水平转变为支撑位，但 3 月 15 日的下跌表明空头一直在承受压力。
ETH/USDT 日线图。 来源： TradingView
多头和空头可能会在 3,600 美元附近见证一场硬仗。 如果价格从该支撑位反弹，多头将再次尝试将 ETH/USDT 货币对推至 4,000 美元。 预计空头将大力捍卫这一水平。
On the downside, the bears will try to yank the price below $3,600. If they do that, the selling could accelerate, and the ETH/USDT pair could slump to $3,200 and later to the 50-day SMA ($2,997). The greater the fall, the longer it will take for the pair to resume the uptrend.
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) has pulled back in a strong uptrend, indicating that the traders are booking profits after a sharp rally.
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
However, the long tail on the March 15 candlestick shows that the bulls are not ready to give up and are buying at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $527.50.
A shallow pullback is a positive sign as it shows the bulls are not waiting for a deeper correction to enter. That increases the possibility of a break above $633. The pair may then climb to the $670 to $692 resistance zone.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below $527, it will signal that every rally is being sold into. The BNB/USDT pair may then tumble to the 20-day EMA ($485).
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) has been in a strong uptrend for the past few days, indicating solid demand at higher levels.
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The up move has pushed the RSI deep into the overbought territory, suggesting that the SOL/USDT pair may have run up too fast in a short time. That could start a correction, which could pull the pair to the 20-day EMA ($142).
If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips. That may enhance the prospects of a rally to $205. This optimistic view will be negated on a break below the 20-day EMA. The pair may then slump to the breakout level at $126.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) turned down from $0.74 on March 12, indicating that the bears are fiercely defending the level.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls tried to flip $0.67 into support on March 13, but the bears had other plans. They continued their selling and pulled the price back below the $0.67 level on March 14.
The selling increased further on March 15, and the XRP/USDT pair broke below the 20-day EMA ($0.62). This suggests that the pair may consolidate inside a large range between $0.50 and $0.74 for some time. A break and close above $0.74 will signal the start of a new uptrend toward $1.02.
Cardano price analysis
The bulls tried to kick Cardano (ADA) above the overhead resistance of $0.80 on March 14, but the long wick on the candlestick shows selling at higher levels.
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The price turned down sharply, and the price dipped to the breakout level of $0.68 on March 15. If bears sink the price below $0.68, it will signal the start of a deeper correction toward the 50-day SMA ($0.61).
Alternatively, if the price rebounds off $0.68, it will suggest that the bulls continue to buy near strong support levels. The ADA/USDT pair could then swing between $0.68 and $0.80 for a while. A break above $0.80 could launch the pair to $0.92.
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) rose above the $0.18 resistance on March 14, but the long wick on the candlestick shows selling at higher levels.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The price turned down sharply and reached the 20-day EMA ($0.15) on March 15. This suggests that the DOGE/USDT pair may remain stuck inside the range for a few more days. A break and close below $0.15 will tilt the advantage in favor of the bears. The pair could then tumble toward $0.12.
Contrarily, a rally above $0.18 will suggest that the bulls have absorbed the supply. That will open the doors for a rally to $0.24 and then $0.30.
Avalanche price analysis
Avalanche (AVAX) witnessed a large range day with a long wick and a long tail on March 14, indicating indecision between the bulls and the bears.
AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears tried to strengthen their position on March 15, but the long tail on the candlestick shows solid buying near the breakout level of $50. This suggests that the bulls are trying to flip $50 into support. If buyers shove the price above $59, the AVAX/USDT pair could resume its uptrend to $87.
If bears want to prevent the upside, they will have to maintain the price below the 20-day EMA. That could sink the pair to the 50-day SMA ($40).
Shiba Inu price analysis
Shiba Inu (SHIB) tumbled below the $0.000029 support on March 15, indicating that the bears are trying to establish their supremacy.
SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls are trying to defend the 20-day EMA ($0.000027), but the recovery is expected to face selling at the downtrend line. If the price turns lower from the downtrend line, it will increase the likelihood of a slide to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.000023 and then $0.000019.
Conversely, if the price turns up and breaks above the downtrend line, it will suggest that the markets have rejected the lower levels. The SHIB/USDT pair could rally to the overhead resistance of $0.000039.
Polkadot price analysis
Polkadot (DOT) turned down from $11.88 on March 14, and the selling picked up momentum on March 15.
DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The negative divergence on the RSI suggests that the bullish momentum is waning. That increases the risk of a drop below the 20-day EMA ($9.93) and the breakout level of $9.59. If that happens, the DOT/USDT pair may start a deeper pullback. The pair could then decline to the 50-day SMA ($8.23).
On the other hand, if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA with strength, the bulls will again try to push the price to $11.88.
本文不包含投资建议或建议。 每一项投资和交易行为都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应自行研究。
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